Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 375.122642 426.556278 483.960262 553.049094 634.302918 727.262276 842.281455
2025-08-31 294.264110 359.832170 439.751794 545.395986 682.962753 858.239763 1102.058748
2025-09-07 254.120173 325.567625 417.783389 547.547413 728.732337 977.796640 1355.153424
2025-09-14 221.200790 293.724436 391.577575 536.247708 749.925433 1062.607262 1571.810431
2025-09-21 199.152098 272.670478 375.733679 534.838139 781.885572 1164.475324 1830.644330
2025-09-28 175.673036 246.434461 348.706989 512.204499 776.694795 1206.094472 1997.524354
2025-10-05 167.231697 240.767079 350.599037 532.994007 841.714444 1370.164376 2409.611310
2025-10-12 160.825162 237.229227 354.923946 557.582090 915.897917 1561.891260 2917.989399
2025-10-19 150.832157 227.012113 347.423347 561.187187 953.486075 1693.262653 3338.192487
2025-10-26 138.859945 212.487165 331.370873 547.874061 957.893341 1761.376251 3639.622412
2025-11-02 129.091035 200.663558 318.595296 538.678012 968.351479 1842.621793 3990.604847
2025-11-09 124.456916 196.906163 319.046893 553.420030 1027.296711 2034.706129 4660.192032
2025-11-16 117.068383 188.076297 310.199672 550.345269 1051.223636 2158.838143 5205.656688
2025-11-23 109.469287 178.310976 298.863433 541.262799 1061.493963 2254.839954 5709.436962
2025-11-30 104.235241 172.254707 293.645766 543.557671 1096.528715 2416.201500 6456.964434
2025-12-07 97.713650 163.391896 282.438274 532.338872 1099.500000 2498.875571 6994.276391
2025-12-14 93.010273 157.483347 276.291396 530.943532 1124.944917 2644.780281 7793.872346
2025-12-21 86.215108 147.252992 261.034672 508.506283 1097.048118 2642.469812 8083.780176
2025-12-28 84.853017 147.074600 265.354038 529.115292 1177.669375 2959.286266 9674.603470
2026-01-04 83.904405 147.592245 271.067618 553.488066 1272.087824 3340.993003 11725.219267
2026-01-11 80.884315 143.884707 267.877074 557.061435 1312.654369 3569.774875 13263.893948
2026-01-18 76.482472 137.185442 257.992815 543.865276 1305.805596 3646.301404 14157.868021
2026-01-25 72.771614 131.638126 250.133140 534.749694 1309.120253 3758.138977 15290.262545